Prediction Markets: Event Contracts and Federal Regulation in 2026
Following landmark federal court rulings in KalshiEX LLC v. CFTC and exchange growth, certified event contracts on political and athletic outcomes trade on regulated designated contract markets under federal commodities law.
Prediction Markets
Prediction Markets and Presidential Elections
An authoritative historical analysis of election wagering in America, from nineteenth-century Wall Street betting to modern regulated binary event contracts.
Prediction Markets
CFTC and Event Contracts Regulation
An authoritative statutory breakdown of CFTC oversight under the Commodity Exchange Act, Section 5c(c)(5)(C), public interest determinations, and DCM rules.
Prediction Markets
Political Markets vs. Gambling
An authoritative comparative legal analysis exploring why federal event contracts differ from commercial gambling under state and federal law.
Prediction Markets
Sports Event Contracts
An analysis of sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated exchanges, federal preemption over state gaming acts, and the 2026 legal landscape.
Prediction Markets
The Future of Event Contract Regulation
Forward-looking analysis of congressional reform proposals, federal preemption challenges, and modern event contract regulation in 2026.
Prediction Markets
Kalshi, Polymarket, and the Federal Courts
Legal investigation of KalshiEX LLC v. CFTC, Polymarket enforcement actions, and federal court precedents transforming political forecasts.